Simulated epidemics could lead to more reliable hospitalization forecasts

A mathematical model is a simplified description of reality that can be used to solve practical problems, predict future events or explain how different systems work. During pandemics, mathematical models can be valuable tools for simulating disease transmission and, among other things, forecasting how many hospital beds will be needed. Early in an outbreak, however, there is often considerable uncertainty about how the disease spreads, resulting in uncertain forecasts.

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